At last the lesson
King Canute tried to teach his subjects, that no man
can turn back the tide, has finally sunk in. After 1,000
years of building sea walls and grabbing more and more
land from the sea, carefully built sea defences are,
in many places, beginning to be deliberately destroyed.
Although, at £400 million
a year, more is still being spent on 20,000 miles of
flood defences than at any time in history, the Environment
Agency and the Government have accepted that all of
Britain cannot be protected from the sea. As the East
and South of England sink below sea level at increasing
speed, the plan is that more and more low lying land
will be abandoned. Experiments have shown that a sea
wall costs £5,000 a metre to build and maintain.
However, retreating 80 metres inland and allowing a
salt marsh to form breaks up the tide and waves, so
the new sea wall sheltering behind it costs only £400
a metre to do the same job. The problem for the Environment
Agency and the Government is that the sea is rising
all the time, and the natural salt marshes are being
washed away, leaving more and more sea wall exposed.
The problem is made worse by
two factors. The South-East continues to tilt into the
sea as a result of the "rebound" of the Scottish
mountains from the last Ice Age, and the sea level is
rising every year because global warming is both melting
glaciers and causing thermal expansion of the oceans.
Sea levels may rise by a metre (about 39 inches) in
some places in fifty years. Add to that the effect of
higher tides and large areas vulnerable to a storm surge.
There is no suggestion that urban areas will be abandoned,
but like Canvey Island in the Thames Estuary, "drowned"
in the 1953 flood, they may become islands surrounded
by sea defences while agricultural land is used as a
buffer against floods.
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