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Science, Technology & Nature Blog: July 2009

What is SuperWASP showing us?

Posted on 31/07/09 by Andy Norton

 

SuperWASP (the Wide Angle Search for Planets) is one of the world’s leading exoplanet detection programmes. Exoplanets are simply planets that orbit stars other than the Sun, and SuperWASP works by looking for those exoplanets that transit in front of their parent star.

Planets produce virtually no light of their own, so if they happen to pass in front of their star (from our viewpoint), then they will block out a tiny fraction of the star’s light, resulting in a slight dimming of the light that we see. Unfortunately, even planets as big as Jupiter will block out less than 1% of the light from a star like the Sun, and for a planet the size of the Earth, the fraction of starlight blocked out is a hundred times smaller still.

As a planet passes in front of its parent star, as seen from our viewpoint, so the brightness of the star is reduced slightly (Not to scale) [image © copyright SuperWASP]
As a planet passes in front of its parent star, as seen from our viewpoint, so the brightness of the star is reduced slightly. (Not to scale)
[image © copyright SuperWASP]

And if this is not difficult enough, only those planetary orbits that happen to line up exactly with our line of sight will cause a transit in the first place. Orbits can be orientated at any angle, but only those within about 1 degree or so of our line of sight will cause the dip in the starlight that we can observe.

Despite all these difficulties, programmes like SuperWASP have been remarkably successful at finding exoplanets. One of the keys to SuperWASP’s success is that it can image a huge area of the sky in a single snapshot. SuperWASP in fact comprises two installations – one in the northern hemisphere on La Palma in the Canary Islands, and one in the southern hemisphere at the South African Astronomical Observatory.

Each installation consists of eight cameras on a robotic telescope mount, and each camera can take images of the sky covering an area over two hundred times that of the full Moon. This means that SuperWASP can take images of around a million stars in a single exposure.

One of the SuperWASP telescopes showing the 8 cameras on the robotic mount [image © copyright SuperWASP]
One of the SuperWASP telescopes showing the 8 cameras on the robotic mount.
[image © copyright SuperWASP]

(For those who like the technical details, SuperWASP uses Canon 200mm focal length, f/1.8 focal ratio ‘papperazzi-style’ lenses with an aperture of 11cm each. They are backed by high quality e2v CCD detectors with 2048x2048 pixels, resulting in an image scale of 13.7 arcseconds per pixel.)

The way to find transiting exoplanets is to take many, many images of the same stars over and over again. Over the course of an observing season lasting around eight months, SuperWASP may take thousands of images of each star field, accumulating several terabytes of data in the form of images of the sky. The brightness of each star on each image is then carefully measured, resulting in a so called lightcurve of each star – its brightness variation with time.

Sophisticated computer programs then examine these millions of lightcurves looking for those that show possible repeating dips that signify the presence of a planet orbiting the star.

Not all the dips found are due to planets though. Some of the dips may just be due to random noise in the detectors or effects of the weather, and some may be due to other astronomical phenomena such as the presence of another nearby star. Therefore there is a process of carefully weeding out these so-called ‘false positives’ and then following up the remaining candidates with other, larger telescopes to verify that they are indeed transiting exoplanets.

At the time of writing (Summer 2009), the SuperWASP data archive contains 994 nights of data comprising 4,935,899 individual images. These images include 27,683,288 unique stars and give rise to lightcurves containing 165,636,715,663 separate data points. So far, the SuperWASP project has announced the discovery of 19 transiting exoplanets – about one-third of the total number of transiting exoplanets that are known – but there are many more SuperWASP planets that are at various stages of confirmation and whose discovery will be presented in the coming months.

 

The first 15 transiting exoplanets discovered by SuperWASP, shown to scale, compared with the Sun and Jupiter (bottom right).  Each image illustrates the colour and size of the star and the relative size of the transiting planet in each case [image © copyright SuperWASP]
The first 15 transiting exoplanets discovered by SuperWASP, shown to scale, compared with the Sun and Jupiter (bottom right). Each image illustrates the colour and size of the star and the relative size of the transiting planet in each case.
[image © copyright SuperWASP]

The WASP Consortium consists of astronomers primarily from the Queen’s University Belfast, Keele University, Leicester University, The Open University, St Andrews University, the Isaac Newton Group (La Palma), the Instituto de Astrofısica de Canarias (Tenerife) and the South African Astronomical Observatory. The SuperWASP-N and WASP-S Cameras were constructed and operated with funds made available from Consortium Universities and the UK’s Science and Technology Facilities Council.

Find out more

More on the background to the SuperWASP from a 2004 Open2 article

Study with The Open University: Planetary science and the search for life

 

About the author

Andy Norton is a member of the Astronomy Research Group within the Centre for Earth, Planetary, Space and Astronomical Research, and Physical Science Awards Director and Senior Lecturer in the Department of Physics and Astronomy at The Open University. He does research in areas broadly classified as Time-Domain Astrophysics.

Browse a list of Andy Norton's published research

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The BBC and The Open University are not responsible for the content of external websites.

 

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Categories: Space, Bang Goes The Theory Tags: astronomy, bang, bang goes the theory, exoplanet, planet, superwasp, telescope, universe, wide angle search for planets

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Gait recognition

Posted on 28/07/09 by Ray Corrigan

 

The idea of gait recognition has been around for a long time. In G.K. Chesterton’s short story The Queer Feet, Father Brown prevents a crime by “merely by listening to a few footsteps in a passage.” Gait analysis has been widely deployed in professional sports and medicine, enabling sports stars to improve their golf swing, running stance or cycling position and helping in the design of prosthetic limbs for example.

As a means of identifying someone at a distance, without any need to inconvenience the people being analysed, it would appear to be a useful proposition. It is important to note, however, that identifying someone in a crowded city square and verifying that someone is one of 200 people who have walked down a colourful corridor with clear contrast under carefully controlled laboratory conditions, are two entirely different problems.

Technically speaking, checking the gait of one person, in a psychedelic corridor with perfect lighting conditions, to find a match in a database of 200 recorded gaits, is relatively straightforward.

Detecting individual gaits in a dynamic, crowded city square, under less than ideal lighting conditions and pinpointing a baddie by attempting to match those (potentially) millions of readings against a database of millions of recorded gaits, is a much more difficult problem.

And we haven’t even thought about how we would get accurate measurements of millions of people’s (or indeed the baddie’s) walking styles on our benchmark database in the first place yet. Then if the baddie puts a stone in his shoe to change his walk to deliberately fool the software, as Dallas did with his funny walk on the first programme in the Bang Goes The Theory series, it becomes even more difficult.

From a security perspective, the notion that mass surveillance with advanced technology will magically detect the baddie, turns out to be fundamentally flawed. (It should be noted that mass surveillance is widely and wrongly promoted as an effective anti-terror tool but it is not advocated by the team at Southampton.)

Because terrorists are relatively rare, finding one is a needle in a haystack problem. You don’t make it easier to find the terrorist by throwing more hay (say the biometric data of millions of innocent people) on your data haystack. The technology doesn’t simply home in on the criminal as it does in Hollywood movies.

The police and security services end up spending so much time dealing with innocent people and false leads that their limited resources get swamped.

If each of the UK’s population of around 60 million were monitored once a day and our system was 99% accurate (e.g. flags 1 in a 100 innocents as terrorists and detects 99 out of every 100 terrorists), the police will have to process 600,000 false leads per day.

Given those of us who traverse public places are monitored multiple times a day you can see how that could quickly become unmanageable. It’s also unacceptable from a social, legal and economic point of view.

So it is probable that the use of gait recognition and other biometrics will prove to be more useful for small scale authentication - e.g. employee access to the workplace, rather than large scale surveillance e.g. picking a terrorist out of a crowd.

On small-scale authentication

Technically speaking authentication or verification is an easier thing to do than identification. Authentication (assuming we’re not trying to do it remotely) with biometrics merely asks whether a biometric belongs to the person presenting themselves for authentication. It compares their proffered biometric with the one on file under their name and determines whether there is a match.

Identification is much harder to do and is what security systems at airports or busy shopping areas or sports stadiums attempt to do – measure the biometrics of everyone passing through and attempt to check whether there is a match with a large (and not necessarily particularly reliable) database of biometrics.

The difference appears pedantic but is very important. In the authentication case one biometric is checked against one specific biometric on the database. In the identification case, millions of biometrics are checked against millions (potentially) of biometrics on the database.

Even with highly reliable technologies – say 99.9% accurate and none of the modern systems approach that yet – these millions of checks searching for matching pairs generate huge numbers of false positives (innocents flagged as malcontents) and dangerous levels of false negatives (real bad guys flagged as innocents and it only takes one to get through to cause serious security problems).

The police and security services then spend so much time, energy and resources dealing with innocent people they don’t have the time to deal with the real criminals.

Find out more

Floyd Rudmin, Professor of Social & Community Psychology at the University of Tromsø in Norway, explains why, statistically speaking, mass surveillance cannot work in this article:
The Politics of Paranoia and Intimidation: Why does the NSA engage in mass surveillance of Americans when it's statistically impossible for such spying to detect terrorists?
Counterpunch magazine, May 24, 2006

For those interested in the use of biometrics and security more generally I’d recommend:
Beyond Fear: Thinking Sensibly About Security in an Uncertain World
Bruce Schneier, Springer-Verlag New York Inc

Freedom to Tinker blog - hosted by Princeton's Center for Information Technology Policy.

Jerry Fishenden Blog - New Technology Observations from a UK Perspective.

UK High Court Judge, Hon Sir Jack Beatson explains the legal issues with the use of biometrics in crime detection in Forensic Science and Human Rights: The Challenges [pdf], his valedictory address as President of the British Academy of Forensic Science, 16 June 2009.

Nuffield Council on Bioethics report, The forensic use of bioinformation: ethical issues [pdf], published in September 2007.

Human Genetics Commission Citizens Report, July 2008.

Biometrics: Enabling Guilty Men to Go Free? Further Adventures from the Law of Unintended Consequences - Jerry Fishenden blog post

Digital Decision Making: Back to the Future - chapters five and six
Ray Corrigan, Springer-Verlag

Study information and communications technologies with The Open University

 

About the author

Ray Corrigan is senior lecturer in technology at The Open University. Deeply involved with The Open University's deployment of elearning, Ray is an expert in computer mediated communication in education. His research interests include interacting developments in law and technology and their wider effects on society.

Ray also blogs at b2fxxx

Browse a list of Ray Corrigan's published research

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Categories: Technology, Privacy, Law, Research, Terrorism, Bang Goes The Theory Tags: authentication, bang goes the theory, biometrics, gait recognition, police, surveillance, technology

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What is evolution?

Posted on 27/07/09 by Stephen Serjeant

 

Most people think they know what evolution's all about - survival of the fittest, right? The strongest animals survive?

In fact that's not what it's about at all. 'Fittest' doesn't mean 'strongest', it means the best at making babies. Imagine a giant carnivorous monster that can't have babies, and compare it to bunnies that don't have strong defences but do reproduce like, er, bunnies.

A thousand years later, are you going to see bunnies or carnivorous monsters? Of course you're going to see the things that have reproduced, not the things that haven't.

Whales swim around with open mouths constantly scooping up defenceless plankton, but plankton is the evolutionary winner because it makes up for being eaten by reproducing very fast and making huge numbers of offspring. It's not about strength, it's about leaving descendents.

A rabbit on grass
A rabbit on grass.
[image © copyright Photos.com]

It's also not about YOU either. It's not the survival of individuals at all. It's the survival of sets of genes, your DNA. If there's a trait that makes people better at making healthy babies that will grow up to reproduce themselves, that trait will get passed on, and slowly over the generations the individuals who have that trait will outnumber the ones that don't. Genes that hinder survival and reproduction are gradually lost. That's evolution in progress.

Individuals aren't central in evolution at all - they're just the way that DNA propagates down through time. There's a saying in evolution: a chicken is an egg's way of making another egg. The geneticist Steve Jones also once said "Yes, there is life after death - it is called children. We die but our genes don't."

Evolution also isn't about progress, just about being well adapted to your environment. If the environment changes the traits that made you 'fittest' in the old environment may not do so in the new one. Individuals with traits that give them an advantage in the new environment will start to leave more children, and so a different set of genes becomes dominant.

We like to think we're at the top of the evolutionary tree, and compare our intelligence to that of other animals. There's certainly a case for us being more intelligent, but what we're really doing is judging animals against what humans have specialised in. That's not fair on the animals. How would you fare in a swimming race against a dolphin? Who has the 'best' genes all depends on the environment!

Dolphins
Dolphins.
[image © copyright Photos.com]

Find out more

Tim Halliday on natural selection and evolution
Video: Richard Dawkins on Charles Darwin
Video: Steve Jones on the work to decode DNA

ispot.org.uk
iSpot is the place to learn more about wildlife and to share your interest with a friendly community. Take a look at the latest spots, start your own album of observations, join a group and get help identifying what you have seen.

Related courses from the Open University

Darwin and evolution
Charles Darwin’s famous book, On the Origin of Species, set out his arguments and evidence for the theory of evolution by means of natural selection. This course explains and explores the science of evolution for those with little or no scientific background.

You might also like:
Fossils & the history of life
Human genetics & health issues
Empire of the microbes

 

About the author

Stephen is a senior lecturer in astrophysics with The Open University specializing in extragalactic surveys of star-forming galaxies. He was the co-winner of the 2004 Daiwa Adrian Prize for Anglo-Japanese scientific collaboration.

Browse a list of Stephen's published research from ORO and The SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System

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Categories: Nature, Biology, Life, Bang Goes The Theory Tags: biology, charles darwin, dna, evolution, genetics, natural selection, professor steve jones, survival of the fittest

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Bang Goes The Theory: Show me the bunny

Posted on 2009-07-15 by The Open2 team

 

Did you miss the Bang Goes The Theory experiment last night? Here's your chance to see it:

Find out more

Try the Bang Goes The Theory challenge

It's easier than you might think to get started studying science with The Open University: Explore short courses.

 

About the author

Open2.net from The Open University

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Categories: Technology Tags: bang goes the theory, electricity, explosion, heat, laser, magnetism, physics, robot, science

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Coast: Meet the presenters - Hermione Cockburn

Posted on 2009-07-14 by The Open2 team

 

What has been the highlight of the new series for you?

Hermione Cockburn at Blackpool
Hermione Cockburn at Blackpool

Well, it was great to be involved again and the highlight was undoubtedly presenting a story about Robert Mallet, an Irish businessman who carried out scientific experiments into earthquakes in the mid 19th Century. His work was the foundation of the modern science of seismology, the study of earthquakes. He wanted to investigate how shock waves travelled through the earth and he did that by detonating an explosion on Killiney Beach near Dublin. Nearly 160 years later, Coast have recreated his experiment; needless to say it was great fun!

Why do you think it's important that we understand more about our coastline?

One reason is that the coast is a very dynamic natural environment and, if we're going to make informed choices about how to manage it, protect it and develop it, the more we know the better decisions we can make.

What is your favourite area/beach/aspect of the UK coastline?

Undercliff walk at Rottingdean [image © copyright Scotticus_ under Creative Commons Licence]
Undercliff walk at Rottingdean.
[image © copyright Scotticus_, some rights reserved]

I have a soft spot for the chalk cliffs at Brighton as I have lots of childhood memories of wandering along the under-cliff walk between Brighton Marina and Rottingdean. It was a favourite family day trip when I was growing up in Sussex. Since moving to Scotland almost 19 years ago, I have fallen in love with the north west coast and Scottish islands. The beaches are stunning with white sands and turquoise water and quite often you can have them to yourself.

Coast has grown into something of a national institution - why do you think people are so interested/passionate about the coast?

I think, for many people, the series triggers fond memories of seaside holidays. So it may be partly nostalgia and a sense of escapism that makes them watch. Once you start watching I think the programmes become compulsive viewing, due the huge diversity of stories covered - you never quite know what surprising gem will be up next!

How did you get involved with presenting Coast?

After working on a series called Rough Science, I was asked whether I wanted to present a story in Coast Series 2 about a potential windfarm development on Lewis. I had recently spent a week there on holiday and jumped at the chance to go back and investigate such an important issue as well as work on one of the BBC's best factual shows.

What have you personally gained from your involvement with the series?

I've been to places that I could well have visited myself but I never would have got the chance to meet the people that I have interviewed for the series. I remember meeting an elderly chap and an 83 year old woman who had both worked in secret listening stations on the Norfolk coast during World War II. Talking to them was absolutely fascinating. It's experiences like that make working on the series so rewarding.

Where would you like to see Coast go next?

One of my favourite islands is Tiree and I don't think Coast have been there yet. Generally speaking more programmes taking in the Scottish islands would suit me as there's plenty I haven't been to but would love the chance to visit.

Do you have any Open University connections outside Coast?

I am an Associate Lecturer with the OU in Scotland and I tutor a second level Environmental Science course. I've also worked on other BBC/OU co-productions, most recently presenting Fossil Detectives. I do science outreach in conjunction with The Open University - for example I presented talks at the Milton Keynes and Edinburgh science festival this year.

Photo of Chalk Cliffs at Rottingdean, Sussex, by Scotticus_ on Flickr under a Creative Commons License.

Find out more

Watch videos, order the new Coast booklet and find out why this series of Coast goes further than any other: Coast on Open2

 

About the author

Open2.net from The Open University

Subscribe to The Open2 team's posts

 

The BBC and The Open University are not responsible for the content of external websites.

 

Permalink: Coast: Meet the presenters - Hermione Cockburn - Coast: Meet the presenters - Hermione Cockburn 1 Comments
Categories: Technology, Travel, Behind the scenes Tags: coastline, earthquake, geography, geology, hermione cockburn

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7.28pm is when everything changes

Posted on 2009-07-14 by The Open2 team

 

Tonight [Tuesday 14th July] at 7.28pm, sandwiched between Adrian Chiles and Phil Mitchell on BBC One, there's something of a TV science event.

Bang Goes The Theory goes live with a two-minute chain reaction experiment.

If it works, it could well be the most spectacular piece of live television you'll see this year.

If it doesn't work, it could still be the most spectacular piece of live television you'll see this year.

Either way, you won't want to miss it...

Find out more

Visit the Bang Goes The Theory website

 

About the author

Open2.net from The Open University

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Categories: Television, Bang Goes The Theory Tags: bang goes the theory, electricity, explosion, heat, laser, magnetism, physics, robot, science

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Coast: Meet the presenters - Dick Strawbridge

Posted on 2009-07-13 by The Open2 team

 

What has been the highlight of the new series for you?

Dick Strawbridge
Dick Strawbridge

Most days' filming mean lots of waiting around or rushing to and from locations. I never tire of spending time by the sea, so I when I get moments between really interesting conversations, or delivering pieces to camera, when the rest of the team are sorting out problems, I find those moments truly awesome as I get to enjoy the sea air.

Why do you think it’s important that we understand more about our coastline?

As an island nation, the sea has played a huge part in shaping who we are. Our coastline involves so many different people, buildings, structures, animals, environments, that taking the time to understand the variety and diversity helps us reconcile that, as a nation, we have to celebrate our differences as well as our common ground.

What is your favourite area/beach/aspect of the UK coastline?

I have always loved Giants Causeway and the coast of County Antrim as I grew up enjoying them and they really show land and the sea coming together in a fairly violent mix of rocks and waves. However, I have to say that, now, the couple of miles from the China clay works on Par beach to the harbour at Polkerris on the south coast of Cornwall (just over the hill from my smallholding) have to be my favourite beach/coastal path/harbour/rockpools.

The Giant's Causeway
The Giant's Causeway.
[image © copyright Photos.com]

Coast has grown into something of a national institution – why do you think people are so interested/passionate about the coast?

I defy anyone to watch Coast and not learn something. Our coastline has such variety and amazing beauty that there is always something for everyone. There is something there for anyone with a pulse.

How did you get involved with presenting Coast?

I was lucky enough to have made several engineering series for the BBC and had made some short films on D-Day and the war in the Far East, so I was invited to take part in a couple of Coast programmes with engineering or military history connections. It's great fun and, anytime I’m asked if I’m interested, I always say "yes" as I know I’ll learn lots and meet some cracking people.

What have you personally gained from your involvement with the series?

Spending time in a coastal resort, or in a specific location by the sea, covering a story for Coast, gives you the time to appreciate an area that you would probably pass through with barely a second thought. More and more patches of our coastline are becoming special for me as I get a chance to really know them.

Where would you like to see Coast go next?

When I was growing up, the map of the world was covered in pink countries – I reckon it would be great to look at all the places we came ashore to conquer and build the empire and commonwealth. There will be lots of examples of hardship, ingenuity, perseverance, and people with stories we have never heard.

Do you have any Open University connections outside Coast?

My daughter is a singer songwriter and recently decided to take some OU language and psychology modules and two of my sisters did OU degrees and masters degrees whilst working.

Find out more

Watch videos, order the new Coast booklet and find out why this series of Coast goes further than any other: Coast on Open2

 

About the author

Open2.net from The Open University

Subscribe to The Open2 team's posts

 

The BBC and The Open University are not responsible for the content of external websites.

 

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Categories: Technology, Nature, Travel, Travel, History, Behind the scenes Tags: coastline, dick strawbridge, engineering, environment, geography

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Blowing in the wind

Posted on 08/07/09 by Ian Johnston

 
Exterior view
Exterior view.

One of the most important tools for aerodynamics research is the wind tunnel - in fact, the first really good wind tunnel was built by the Wright brothers and was crucial to their success. The idea is quite simple - instead of moving a wing, fuselage, plane or other object through the air, you use a fan to blow the air past it.

Well, simple in theory. In practice, it all gets rather complicated, and needs some pretty impressive engineering. The main wind tunnel test section at Thurleigh was eight feet in diameter and could run up to Mach 2.2. That's 2.2 times the speed of sound: a whopping 1700mph. To get the air moving that fast requires a colossal amount of power: 80,000hp, to be precise. That's twelve times the traction power of a Pendolino train.

More problems start as soon as the air has left the fan. Getting air to move requires a pressure - that's what fans do - and compressing air makes it hot. Very hot. That's bad news for the model under test, and potentially bad science too, if you're trying to study normal atmospheric conditions. So, after the fans came a huge heat exchanger, pulling a fair proportion of those 80,0000hp out of the air again and losing them in a cooling tower.

Inside the building
Inside the building.

After the heat exchanger came a series of baffles and guides to remove turbulence from the air and direct it as smoothly as possible through the test section and over the model being tested. As it leaves this area it's still going very fast, so, to avoid wasting all that nice kinetic energy, the Thurleigh wind tunnel, like most other large scale ones, sent the same air round again.

Side view of fan
Side view of fan.

That's the point of the circular hole in the side wall. The fans filled the whole of the end space, where the set is now, and the circular hole in the end wall led on towards the heat exchangers.

The support infrastructure for all this was huge and complicated. The main drive motor was a synchronous one - that means that it always went round at exactly one speed, set by the supply frequency. To allow operation at different speeds, Thurleigh had two 25MW variable frequency generating sets - a small power station of its own. Setting the output of them set the speed of the drive motor and hence the air speed in the wind tunnel. For operation at full blast, the on-site generators could be synchronized to the national grid, allowing the motor to run on a mixture of home-made and mains electricity.

Just starting the synchronous motor was a major undertaking as well - that took another two 14,000hp DC motors and a large motor generator set to convert AC mains into DC for those.

Wall of dials and switches
Wall of dials and switches.

The electrical control room for all of this is still in place and more or less intact. Nowadays much or most of it would be done electronically and controlled from a PC, but in the 1960s electromechanical engineering ruled supreme and the control room has a wall  of switches, dials and beautifully complicated, Swiss-made automatic controllers for the generating sets.

There is another control room too, dedicated to controlling the oil supply to the system. An 80,000hp electric motor is a heavy lump of metal, and with two 14,000hp motors to start it and all the fans at the other end, the shaft bearings were huge. The supply of oil to these was absolutely crucial, so another wall of instruments allowed operators to monitor and control the oil temperature and pressure in all the bearings. That would be done on a PC too, nowadays, but sixty feet of bakelite and gauges is somehow more satisfying: there is little of the romance of engineering in a digital display.

Dials showing oil supply instruments.
Dials showing oil supply instruments.

Find out more

Get involved with Bang Goes The Theory on Open2

 
Ian Johnston

About the author

Ian Johnston has been with the Open University since 1991, as a staff lecturer in the technology department.

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The BBC and The Open University are not responsible for the content of external websites.

 

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Categories: Technology, Behind the scenes, Bang Goes The Theory Tags: aerodynamics, bang goes the theory, experiment, physics, science, testing, wind tunnel

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A fatal bug? Did computers cause the Air France disaster?

Posted on 06/07/09 by Mike Richards

 
Airbus 330 flying overhead [image by husseinabdallah, some rights reserved]
Airbus 330 flying overhead.
[image by Abdallahh,
some rights reserved
]

On June 1st, an Air France Airbus A330 on a routine flight from Rio de Janeiro to Paris crashed into the Atlantic Ocean. 228 people died in the worst air accident in French aviation history. The disaster was all the more shocking because one of the world's most reputable airlines had lost one of the most reliable airliners ever built. Until the crash of Air France 447, some 600 A330s had flown for sixteen years without a single fatality.  The aircraft crashed in an area of the Atlantic up to 3 kilometres deep leaving little evidence apart from a small amount of floating wreckage and some bodies.  The crucial flight recorders (often called the black boxes) now lie on the ocean floor and have not been recovered.

One month later, France's air accident authority, the Bureau d'Enquêtes et d'Analyses pour la Sécurité de l'Aviation Civile, released an interim report based on what little was known; the aircraft had hit the water intact at high speed in a steep dive and showed no sign of fire or explosion. This interim report stated:

"At this stage of the investigation, the only established facts are:

  • the presence near the airplane’s planned route over the Atlantic of significant convective cells typical of the equatorial regions;
  • based on the analysis of the automatic messages broadcast by the plane, there are inconsistencies between the various speeds measured."

Over a five minute period, the aircraft's computers began to report a series of equipment failures that began in the vital airspeed sensors which are necessary to keep the aircraft in stable flight.

Over a five minute period, the aircraft's computers began to report a series of equipment failures that began in the vital airspeed sensors which are necessary to keep the aircraft in stable flight.

Our knowledge of the last few minutes of the AF447 comes from automated messages radioed back to Air France's maintenance facilities using a system known as the Aircraft Communication Addressing and Reporting System (ACARS). Over a five minute period, the aircraft's computers began to report a series of equipment failures that began in the vital airspeed sensors which are necessary to keep the aircraft in stable flight. At the time, AF447 was flying through a series of intense tropical thunderstorms; it would have flown through lightning and extreme turbulence and may have also encountered freezing conditions. In themselves, these should not have caused the loss of a modern airliner. A number of other aircraft safely threaded through the same storms that night without serious incident.

In the absence of a clear cause, some reporters and bloggers have begun to blame the disaster on the use by Airbus of computerised, "fly-by-wire" technology. It has been suggested that the computers on the aircraft, if they did not actually cause the accident, may have made it impossible for the crew to avoid disaster.

How aircraft are manoeuvred

So, before we have a look at why aircraft use computers and what they do, perhaps a small diversion is in order. Airplanes manoeuvre using a combination of "control surfaces" - sometimes (incorrectly) called flaps - located on the wings and tail. You've probably seen these devices working during take-off and landing. The outer parts of the wings contain the ailerons controlling the amount of roll (or banking) used to turn the aircraft on to another heading. The horizontal surfaces in the tail are called elevators and are used to change the pitch - the nose-up or nose down attitude of the aircraft when it changes height. The vertical surface on the tail is known as the rudder and is also used to turn the aircraft, this time without the sometimes disconcerting tilt of banking. The aircraft wings also contain the flaps which are used during take-off and landing to provide additional lift or drag.

The control surfaces are driven from the cockpit. In very small aircraft this can be achieved using manual linkages not too different from the brake cables found on bicycles. When the pilot moves the joystick, it directly pulls or slackens a cable, the other end of which is attached to a control surface. However, as planes become larger and faster, the amount of force needed to move the ever-larger control surfaces becomes greater and greater, until it is not physically possible to move them at all.

During the 1950s and 1960s aircraft designers increasingly switched to hydraulic linkages similar to those found in cars. In these more modern aircraft, movements of the joystick were transferred to the control surfaces through pressurised hydraulic fluid. Pilots did not need to be especially strong, the hydraulics did all the work. The weakness of hydraulic systems is that the plane needs to be threaded with pipes which must be regularly inspected for defects; a leak could result in disaster. To reduce the risk of any one system failing, the hydraulic system was duplicated - each control surface could be moved by any one of three (sometimes four) independent hydraulic circuits; the hydraulics were said to be multiply redundant. There are only a very few cases where all of an aircraft's hydraulics have failed in-flight, and the technology continues to be used on many modern aircraft.

The weakness of hydraulics is that they are heavy and maintenance intensive. If reliance on them could be reduced, or dispensed with entirely, aircraft could carry a more useful payload and spend longer in the air - both of which make them more profitable. Fly-by-wire is the solution to this; the long, complex hydraulic links between the joystick and the control surfaces are replaced by sensors and electrical cabling. When the joystick is moved, sensors read the changes and send electrical signals to hydraulic pumps located near the control surfaces. These pumps then move the surfaces as if they were directly linked to the joystick. Fly-by-wire technology was developed in the UK and US during the 1960s for military aircraft and received its first commercial use inside the Anglo-French Concorde in 1969, but it was not especially well known until Airbus chose the technology for the A320, unveiled in 1987.

The A320 revolution
Airbus had been founded for political motives with the intention of combining the expertise of various European airspace manufacturers to build a rival to the American airline industry, dominated by Boeing and MacDonell Douglas (now part of Boeing). Although Europe, and especially Britain, had led the world in developing airliner technology throughout the 1950s and 1960s, it had been the Americans who had gone on to dominate the World market for airliners. Airbus' first airliner, the A300, had become a successful twin-engined plane but had used relatively conventional technologies; the A320 would be a huge leap into the future. It was designed to compete both with the world's best-selling airliner, the Boeing 737, and also to replace the older, thirstier, noisier 3-engined Boeing 727.

The A320 was a revolutionary aircraft, not only including fly-by-wire technology, but also being one of the first airliners to be built using substantial amounts of composite materials such as carbon fibre. Its cockpit was equally novel; there would only be two flight crew - the engineer was no longer needed, their role being taken by a highly automated "glass cockpit" that replaced switches and dials with computer screens. Aggressively marketed, the economical A320 family of jets has sold nearly 4000 aircraft, making it the second most successful airliner in the world, and is likely to be built for many years yet. The success of the A320 allowed Airbus to plan even more ambitious aircraft including the twin-engined A330, the four-engined A340 and the enormous A380 double-decked super Jumbo which entered service in late 2007. This family of aircraft has allowed Airbus to rival, and sometimes supplant, Boeing as the world's largest manufacturer of airliners - much to that company's disgust.

Interior of Airbus A340 cockpit [image by Storm Crypt, some rights reserved]
Interior of Airbus A340 cockpit.
[image by Storm Crypt,
some rights reserved
]

As well as emphasising the comfort, reliability and economy of their aircraft, Airbus have been keen to stress their exceptional safety, made possible by computer technology. Airbus took a decision that computer technology could be used to protect the aircraft from any action by the pilots that could damage or destroy it. The safe operation of an aircraft is constrained by a "flight envelope" which describes factors such as the maximum and minimum speeds, the tightest turn it can make and so on. If an aircraft exceeds its flight envelope it can result in injury to the passengers, damage to the airframe or a complete structural failure. The flight envelope is not a simple, static object; rather it changes on a number of factors such as the altitude. In theory, a computer can ensure that the aircraft remains safely inside the envelope at all times - the aircraft is said to have "flight envelope protection". The consequence of flight envelope protection is profound; the pilot no longer has absolute control of the aircraft; the computer will veto any action that would take the aircraft outside of the flight envelope.

But, before protection can be guaranteed, it is crucial that the computers are completely reliable and accurate.

Reliable computers
The Airbus contains five main computers divided into two main roles. Three of the computers are designated the primary flight control computers and are in day-to-day control of the plane; reading the pilot's instructions, monitoring the aircraft's position, speed and attitude; making the necessary calculations to keep the aircraft safe, and sending commands to the engines and control surfaces. These are backed up by a pair of secondary flight control computers which are constantly monitoring the aircraft, but only act if one or all of the primary flight control computers become unavailable. These computers are distributed around the fuselage so that an impact or hull breach should not disable more than one machine. Likewise, multiple cables link the computers - cutting one, or some of them, will not disable the entire system

In normal use, the computers each read the data from the pilot and sensors built into the aircraft and individually calculate the appropriate response. At preset intervals the responses from each computer are compared. If the result from one computer differs from the other two, it is automatically disqualified from further operation and a backup computer is switched in to make further decisions. Likewise, if one of the computers fails to respond in time for one of these votes, it is disconnected and a replacement called in. In fact, the aircraft can be safely flown and landed using only one computer, so there is massive redundancy built into the computer systems.

The designers of the Airbus computers went to enormous trouble trying to imagine all of the possible problems that could occur. Their first problem was the certainty that computer hardware and software is almost never completely free of bugs that could cause a program to crash and the to computer become unavailable. Therefore the primary and secondary flight computers not only come from different companies, but they must contain different components - so a hardware failure should not spread between the two computer systems. This diversity is replicated inside the software; with the primary and secondary computers each running different programs coded in different languages. These programs were developed by teams with exceptional records of producing high-quality software, using special software tools that should capture bugs long before the programs are ever used in real life.

Airbus's designers then went on to consider what would happen if the aircraft hit trouble - such as some of the vital sensors became unavailable. Just like Isaac Asimov's robots, Airbus aircraft are governed by three Laws.

The designers of the Airbus computers went to enormous trouble trying to imagine all of the possible problems that could occur.

The first is called Normal Law and applies when the aircraft and its systems are healthy. The flight control computers interpret the commands from the joystick and guarantee that the aircraft remains safely within the flight envelope; they also ensure that passengers remain comfortable by reducing the rate of changes in direction or altitude.

If some of the sensors fail, the hydraulics become unreliable or more than two computers are unavailable, the computers switch to Alternate Law. Here some of the protections are removed or relaxed, the aircraft can make more extreme manoeuvres but cannot exceed its flight envelope. This might sound counter-intuitive, you may be thinking this is the sort of circumstance where the pilots need more help from the computers; but Airbus' thinking was that, if the sensors or computers could no longer be trusted to read or interpret data correctly, then it was time to pass more control to the expertise of the pilots.

Further failures would force the aircraft into Direct Law. At this point the aircraft can no longer offer flight envelope protection and the Airbus must be flown like an older generation aircraft.

In the event of a catastrophic failure resulting in the total loss of power, the Airbus has a further mechanical backup mode which could be used to make an emergency landing, but would most likely be used for a few minutes whilst the flight crew tried to recover power. This is extremely unlikely to happen as the aircraft would have to lose both engines, the auxiliary power unit in the tail, have flat batteries and not be able to deploy the ram air turbine (a wind generator which can be swung out from the underside of the aircraft).

Wheels of Boeing777 [image by Diorama Sky, some rights reserved]
Wheels of Boeing777.
[image by Diorama Sky,
some rights reserved]

Flight envelope protection became a huge difference in philosophy between Airbus and its rival, Boeing. The American company was reluctant to remove ultimate control from the human and could cite a number of instances where an aircraft was only saved by exceeding the flight envelope. In 1985 a China Airlines Boeing 747 flying between Taiwan and the United States suffered a relatively minor engine failure over the Pacific. The crew did not follow the proper procedures for restarting the engine and the aircraft eventually tipped into a vertical dive. Disaster was only avoided when the pilot forced the nose up using the elevators. The aircraft vastly exceeded its envelope and suffered severe damage to its control surfaces and undercarriage but it was able to land safely with only two injuries. Airbus countered that such incidents were exceptionally rare and, besides, flight envelope protection would have ensured the aircraft never entered the dive in the first place.

Did the computers have anything to do with the loss of AF447?
The ACARS data sent back to Air France during the last few minutes show that the airspeed sensors mounted on the aircraft were registering as faulty. Following incidents on other Air France A330 and A340 airliners, the company had entered into discussions with Airbus, who had determined that certain sensor designs were prone to becoming clogged with ice or water and recommended that they be replaced as part of scheduled maintenance. Although the aircraft had not received the improved sensors, it had been declared safe to fly, but it is entirely possible that the airspeed sensors had developed a fault. As soon as the computers realised the airspeed readings from the sensors could not be trusted, they switched to Alternate Law, disengaged the autopilot and switched off the automated thrust systems. The computers would continue to keep the aircraft within the flight envelope, but the crew would be in charge of steering and maintaining the correct airspeed. The very last minute of the ACARS data suggests that the problems had continued to spread through the computerised systems responsible for maintaining the aircraft's speed and orientation. The very last message warned that the Airbus had entered a steep descent. Crucially, the data does not suggest that the computers had ever entered Direct Mode or indeed failed all together. The evidence is that the computers were battling to keep the aircraft in the air until disaster was unavoidable - they were working.

Previously, in 2008, an A330 belonging to the Australian operator Qantas experienced an in-flight emergency when one of the computers used to collate sensor data developed a serious fault which resulted in unexpected violent pitching and false stall and overspeed warnings. Fortunately, the computer was deactivated, but not before 115 people on board were injured. Airbus revised their instructions to pilots on how to deal with such an incident which proved useful less than three months later when a second Qantas A330 flying in the same area encountered a similar fault with the same computer in a different aircraft; fortunately, this time, no one was injured. Airbus and the computer's manufacturer are still trying to ascertain the exact cause of the problems but pilots have blamed radio interference from a powerful naval transmitter in Western Australia. Could a similar problem have befallen AF447? It is possible, but Airbus point out that the doomed aircraft used different computer hardware and software from the Qantas jets and it is extremely unlikely a similar bug could exist in both sets of equipment.

It is not impossible, but increasingly unlikely, that AF447's flight recorders will be recovered from the floor of the Atlantic Ocean. If they are found, air accident investigators will be able to examine the operation of the airliner's computers and sensors on a second-by-second basis and listen to the words of the flight crew. If they are not located, then we might never know precisely what happened on the flight. Instead, Airbus and the French authorities will have to make a reasoned judgement on what might have occurred and make recommendations to avoid their recurrence. Even before any report, Air France has replaced all of the airspeed sensors on its A330 and A340 aircraft.

The most likely explanation for the loss of AF447 lies with the failure of those airspeed sensors. If an airliner loses too much airspeed it loses the lift necessary to keep it in the air; it is said to have entered an aerodynamic stall. Stalling can also be brought about by sudden rises in the temperature of the air and by banking the wings. Pilots are trained both to recognise the potential for stalls and to recover from, them. But perhaps the crew of AF447 were overwhelmed by a series of events that began with what should have been a routine sensor failure. As they responded to the imposition of Alternate Law and their new responsibilities for maintaining the aircraft's speed, they would also have been quieting the various alerts appearing on their screens and fighting the storm. This would not have been the first time humans were unable to keep up with a computer in an emergency; the operators of the Three Mile Island nuclear power station in the United States were overwhelmed by so many alarms that they failed to identify a relatively minor problem that could have been easily fixed before it became a near disaster. Even now, Airbus will be examining how air crew are alerted to problems and determining if these might make circumstances worse rather than better.

...flying is still statistically safer than the drive to the airport.

Although much ink and vitriol has been spilled by supporters and detractors of Airbus' highly automated airliners; the accident records for aircraft with flight envelope protection are quite clear. Whilst highly automated aircraft  show improved performance and reliability and economics, they are neither more nor less likely to be involved in an accident. So perhaps it is the economic benefits that drive this technology. Even Boeing, so long a sceptic over fly-by-wire and envelope protection, is adopting it for the Boeing 777 and 787 Dreamliner airliners.

The statistics are also clear; modern aircraft are much safer than those of previous generations and flying is still statistically safer than the drive to the airport.

Find out more

Follow the unravelling of other disaster stories with forensic engineering:
Collapse at Kinzua
Silver Bridge
Tay Bridge
Concorde

Images

The images used in this blog are copyright. All are from flickr.com under the following creative commons licenses:

Airbus A330 flying overhead by Abdallahh - Attribution
Interior of Airbus A340 cockpit by Storm Crypt - Attribution/Non-Commercial/No Derivative Works
Wheels of Boeing777 by Diorama Sky - Attribution/Non-Commercial/No Derivative Works

 
Mike Richards

About the author

Mike Richards joined the Open University in 1996 to help trial teaching over the Internet. Since then he has taught courses ranging from an introduction to robots to the engineering works of Leonardo da Vinci; but has spent most of his time writing about security - everything from the Enigma machines to e-shopping. He is currently working on a new course exploring the world of ubiquitous computers; imagine a world where computers so small and cheap they can be put in everyday objects - smartphones today, smartclothes tomorrow.

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Countdown to Bang: the laboratory takes shape

Posted on 2009-07-01 by The Open2 team

 

We went back to the top secret Bang Goes The Theory base in Bedfordshire to find out how work was progressing – here's what we saw.

Still very much a work in progress
Still very much a work in progress.
Scaffolding: for those hard to reach places
Scaffolding: for those hard to reach places.
Well at least the windows work
Well at least the windows work.

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Permalink: Countdown to Bang: the laboratory takes shape
Categories: Television, Behind the scenes, Bang Goes The Theory Tags: bang goes the theory, science, television set

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